Can You Predict a Recession?

What if everything you’ve been told about recessions is wrong? On this episode, Ravi Gupta sits down with economist Tyler Goodspeed to challenge the classic “boom and bust” narrative—arguing that downturns aren’t inevitable consequences of excess, but the result of unpredictable shocks like energy crises, policy mistakes, or global events. Drawing on data stretching back to the 1700s, Tyler makes the case: “economic expansions don’t die of old age—they’re murdered”—and that trying to time the next crash may be a losing game. It’s a sharp, perspective-shifting conversation that reframes how the economy actually works—and what truly puts it at risk.

Tyler Goodspeed’s Recession